15 Jul · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1239
FormWLLLL
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1596
FormLLLLW
14%
86%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (215)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~71 pts
0-3
38%
1-3
31%
2-3
17%
3-2
6%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+357
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+357)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)