15 Jul · 14:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1414
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Yureneva
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1550
FormLWLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+136
H2H122-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (122-51)