15 Jul · 19:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1262
FormWWLLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Yureneva
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1550
FormLWLWW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%Total ~71 pts
0-3
36%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+288
H2H85-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+288)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (85-38)