15 Jul · 17:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1414
FormWWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Mykhailyk
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1239
FormWLLLL
71%
29%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (215)
Fair odds · Mykhailyk
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~72 pts
3-0
28%
3-1
26%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H33-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-10)