15 Jul · 14:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1262
FormWWLLL
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1596
FormLLLLW
16%
84%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
0-3
37%
1-3
31%
2-3
17%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+334
H2H20-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+334)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-12)