16 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1630
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rzhevska
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1602
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H23-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.