16 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1582
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dronova
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1535
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)