16 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1535
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1602
FormLLLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H75-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (75-10)