16 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1535
FormLWLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Yureneva
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1391
FormLLWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~73 pts
3-0
25%
3-1
25%
3-2
17%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+144
H2H123-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (123-51)