16 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1630
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rzhevska
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1582
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)