16 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1511
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Yureneva
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1535
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as underdog 62% (198)
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H20-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.