17 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1631
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volgina
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1624
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gordeets🌟Gordeets covers set handicap as underdog 64% (269)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H104-101
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.