17 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1601
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1631
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (261)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H113-123
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.