17 Jul · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1669
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bondarenko
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1624
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gordeets🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 66% (59)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H5-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)