17 Jul · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1559
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1601
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H18-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-13)