17 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1669
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bondarenko
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1631
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volgina🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 66% (59)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)