17 Jul · 20:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1624
FormLLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Gordeets
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1441
FormLLLWL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~73 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
26%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+183
H2H49-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-8)