17 Jul · 21:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1601
FormWWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Ivchenko
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1441
FormLLLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
3-0
26%
3-1
25%
3-2
18%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+160
H2H39-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-12)