18 Jul · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1593
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1633
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (261)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H114-123
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+40)