18 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1200
FormLLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1475
FormWWLLW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~71 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
30%
2-3
18%
3-2
8%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+275
H2H17-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+275)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-12)