18 Jul · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1387
FormLLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Bondarenko
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1668
FormLWWLW
20%
80%
🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 66% (59)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%Total ~72 pts
0-3
35%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+281
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+281)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)