18 Jul · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1387
FormLLLLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1626
FormLWLWW
23%
77%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
28%
2-3
18%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+239
H2H37-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-27)