18 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1431
FormWLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1626
FormLWLWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+195
H2H50-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+195)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-8)