18 Jul · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1431
FormWLLLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Bondarenko
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1668
FormLWWLW
23%
77%
🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 66% (59)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~72 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
28%
2-3
18%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+237
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)