18 Jul · 17:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1431
FormWLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1593
FormLLWWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+162
H2H39-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-13)