18 Jul · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1626
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bondarenko
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1668
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gordeets🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 66% (59)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H5-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)