18 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1200
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Plashchynska
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1269
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Plashchynska
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H14-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-3)