18 Jul · 21:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1626
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1633
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gordeets🌟Gordeets covers set handicap as underdog 64% (269)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H105-101
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.