19 Jul · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1543
FormWWWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Lapa
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1370
FormLLLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
3-0
28%
3-1
26%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H35-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-13)