19 Jul · 19:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1346
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tymchenko
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1370
FormLLLLL
47%
53%
🌟Tymchenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (50)
Fair odds · Tymchenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H33-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.