19 Jul · 20:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1346
FormWLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Lapa
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1543
FormWWWLW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+197
H2H80-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-57)