19 Jul · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1543
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1581
FormLWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H105-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (105-38)