19 Jul · 19:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1543
FormWWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1633
FormLLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+90
H2H77-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-47)