19 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1633
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Gordeets
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1631
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 63% (491)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H101-106
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.