21 Jul · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1272
FormWWLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1430
FormLLLLL
31%
69%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 64% (222)
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~72 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+158
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)