21 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1600
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kurtenko
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1527
FormWWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 77% · 1.29· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H76-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-10)