Alina Kurtenko vs Polina Pashchenko — Setka Cup Women

← Setka Cup Women predictions

21 Jul · 04:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko

ELO 1600

3-2Final setsKurtenko won

🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko

ELO 1504

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurtenko at 69%. The actual result was Alina Kurtenko 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Alina Kurtenko — profile →Polina Pashchenko — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kurtenko favoured — closing 1.68

Favourite won

Total 78.5

101 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kurtenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kurtenko −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 3.5

closing 1.33

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alina Kurtenko is favoured to win, below means Polina Pashchenko.

▲ Alina Kurtenkopre 74% → final 100%

Polina Pashchenko ▼

Biggest swing 95 ptsKurtenko recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games