21 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1481
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kurtenko
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1461
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H39-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.