22 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1612
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rzhevska
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1616
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H23-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.