22 Jul · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1612
FormWWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Plokhotniuk
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1736
FormLWLLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+124
H2H23-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-3)