22 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1736
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Plokhotniuk
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1612
FormWWWLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-0
24%
3-1
24%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+124
H2H23-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-3)