22 Jul · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1720
FormWWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Ovriakh
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1612
FormWWWLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-0
23%
3-1
23%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+108
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)