22 Jul · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1736
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Plokhotniuk
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1616
FormWWLLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~73 pts
3-0
24%
3-1
24%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+120
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)