23 Jul · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1724
FormLLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Plokhotniuk
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1584
FormLLLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-0
25%
3-1
25%
3-2
17%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+140
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)