23 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1724
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1738
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.