23 Jul · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1738
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Ovriakh
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1636
FormWWLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-0
23%
3-1
23%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+102
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)