24 Jul · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1448
FormWWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1573
FormWWWLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+125
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)