24 Jul · 18:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1544
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1633
FormLLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
22%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+89
H2H104-62
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (104-62)