24 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1448
FormWWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1600
FormLWWWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+152
H2H39-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-14)