24 Jul · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1600
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Gordeets
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1573
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H18-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.